|
|
|
5 Things To Know About The Stock Market
50% Of U.S. Households Invest In The Stock Market Individuals invest in the stock market directly, through mutual funds, their pension plans, profit sharing plans, 401k's, IRA's, etc. Mutual Funds Dominate The Market It is mainly the...
How To Invest Wisely And Make Your Money Grow
Wise investments of your spare funds can be a great way to grow
rich. These days, savings accounts offer very low interest and
it is a waste to allow your money to lie in them. Based on your
appetite for risk and your financial needs, you have...
Investing In The Stock Market – 9 Power Packed Tips
1. Do not spread your money too thin.
My friend has a little over $200,000 invested in the stock market through 27 different Mutual funds. In my opinion, 27 Mutual funds is 27 too many collecting load fees, management fees, commission fees,...
"Simple Strategies to Making Financial Gain"
Now is a great time to make it a habit to manage your resources instead of your resources managing you. What is meant by that when we are stating that "Your money manages you"? Here is a well known example: "There is more month than there is...
Using an LLC to Protect Your Wealth
Bulletproof" Your Wealth with Family Limited Partnerships and LLC's A limited partnership is a partnership that has at least one limited partner and one general partner. Most states require the filing of a certificate with the state in order to be...
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Santa Claus Rally: Is a Year-End Stock Recovery Coming to Town?
Now that we are in the holiday season, you will be hearing more
about the so-called "Santa Claus Rally." It is a well-known
phenomenon, first discovered by Yale Hirsch and published in his
Stock Trader's Almanac. During this year-end rally, stocks tend
to advance, sometimes sharply, from the day after Christmas to
the first two days after New Year's Day.
But now, just as the retailers have extended the Christmas
shopping season to Halloween, the Santa Claus Rally has been
extended by traders to cover the final two to three months of
the year.
At Investment U, we want to answer three questions:
Is the Santa Claus Rally real? Can it be confirmed historically?
What is the cause of this year-end stock rally? Most
importantly, will we see a Santa Claus Rally this December? I've
done a great deal of research on this topic, and here are my
answers...
First, is the Santa Claus Rally historically factual? The answer
is yes. In terms of the original Santa Claus Rally, 65% of the
time (going back 100 years), stocks have advanced during the
week following Christmas Day, and have done better than December
as a whole.
In the past eight years, November and December have been
extremely bullish. Even during the bear markets, 2000-2003,
stocks rallied in the final two months. Looking at a chart of
the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and you would notice the steep
run-ups just before the annual vertical lines.
Analysts suggest several factors that drive the Santa Claus
Rally:
The end of tax-loss selling. A tendency for investors
Associated Websites
to fund
IRAs and 401(k)s at the start of a new year. Financial
institutions and mutual funds seeking to be fully invested for
the New Year. Upbeat year-end stock forecasts for a good January
(the January Effect).
So, will we see a Santa Claus this year? Since October 1, the
Dow is already up 7%, and the Nasdaq 100 is up 15%. Here are
five good reasons why I believe we could see a continuation of
this stock rally:
The Fed may postpone raising rates. According to the minutes of
the most recent meeting, November 1, some board members oppose
further hikes in the Fed Funds Target Rate. Pressure is mounting
for the Fed to ease, especially with gas and oil prices down
from their highs in September.
The Fed is pumping new liquidity into the banking system. M2,
the broadest definition of the money supply, is now growing at a
7% rate, the fastest this year.
Corporate earnings are strong.
CPI inflation is likely to ease, following a sharp drop in
gasoline prices.
Long-term interest rates have fallen back under 4.5%.
In sum, it's time to stuff your Christmas stocking with stocks
and join the holiday merriment.
About the author:
Dr. Mark Skousen is a professional economist, financial advisor,
university professor, author of over 20 books, and
Chairman/Editor of Investment U. In the IU e-Letter, Dr. Skousen
helps nearly 300,000 readers become better investors with
actionable investment advice, including the Santa
Claus Rally article above
|
|
|
|
|
|